Why take the under in the Stanley Cup 1 final, plus other best bets for Wednesday

If Minkah Fitzpatrick owes you $ 20, now is the time to call him and ask him. The Steelers locked him up with a new five-year deal that will pay him $ 73.6 million with a $ 36 million guarantee. It runs at an average of $ 18.4 million per season, which is a nice increase over the $ 10.6 million it should have made. It also makes Fitzpatrick the highest paid security in the NFL, and deservedly so.

Although Fitzpatrick isn’t considered Pittsburgh’s best defense player – TJ Watt has just been named NFL Defender of the Year, after all – he’s one of the best safeties in the league and has been for a while. He’s been destined for stardom ever since he first dressed for Alabama in college, and every year he gets better.

Plus, if you’re Pittsburgh, you’re looking at Mitch Trubisky or rookie Kenny Pickett as your QB in 2022, so you need to block that defense as quickly as possible. You can’t afford to miss out on a lot of points if you want to return to the playoffs for a third consecutive season!

Now lace up your skates. The Stanley Cup final begins tonight.

All Eastern Times and All Odds via Caesars Sportsbook


🔥 The hot ticket

Avalanche lightning, 20:00 | TV: ABC

Latest odds:

Below 6

  • Key trend: The under is 10-1 in the last 11 games of Tampa
  • The choice: less than 6 (-105)

Under was a blind game in Stanley Cup final matches. But over the past five years, NHL games have scored higher, leading to the 14-11-4 being beaten. It’s not the kind of trend that would tell you to hammer blindly, but it’s a defining change in the other direction.

Taking the under tonight, it’s not like I expect a change in the way you play. It is that the total for each of the previous 29 Stanley Cup finals closed at 5 or 5.5. Tonight’s total is set at 6. Regardless of the total or the outcome of the bets, an average of 5.5 goals have been scored in the last 29 games. I don’t know the last time a Stanley Cup final had a total of six because my records don’t go back far enough to find one. Google wasn’t very helpful either.

Whatever the date, it’s been a while, and while I won’t be shocked if that flies past six goals, history and my numbers suggest it’s more likely not.

Here’s what SportsLine says about the game: If you don’t want to hear me, you should listen to SportsLine’s best NHL handicapper Matt Severance. He went 134-71-4 this season for a return of over 27 units. He has a money line played for Game 1 tonight.


The choices

USED

MLB

Pirates to the Cardinals, 19:45 | TV: MLB.TV

Latest odds:

Over 8.5

The choice: over 8.5 (-120) – Time is doing a lot of hard work with this choice. I don’t know what it’s like where you live now, but it’s hot as hell in the Midwest. We’ve gone from the temperatures of the upper 60s and low 70s to the 90s overnight, and the ball flies much farther when that happens.

Tonight’s forecast in St. Louis has a first-pitch temperature of 96 degrees with the wind blowing towards the left field at 13 mph. In other words, pray for the jugs. Roansy Contreras gets the go to Pittsburgh. While she hits a lot of batters, she also allows for a lot of strong, flying contact, which is not what any pitcher wants in these conditions. For St. Louis, Jack Flaherty will make his first appearance of the season after facing shoulder problems this spring.

His comeback is huge for the Cardinals and their playoff hopes, but if I were him I’d rather come back on a night with the wind blowing.

Key trend: The over is 4-1 in St. Louis’ last five games as a home favorite.

Padres to Cubs, 20:05 | TV: MLB.TV

Latest odds:

San Diego Padres +120

The choice: Padres (+120) – Here’s another game that time will have a significant impact, but with the total already rising to 12, I don’t see much value in betting on it. Instead, we find value in the Padres, as they are underdogs in a game that is essentially a coinflip. I assume the most important factor is that Ryan Weathers is starting for the Padres, and it’s his first MLB appearance of the season.

It makes sense to be skeptical of Weathers, who posted a 5.32 ERA with San Diego last season, but the Cubs are starting Caleb Kilian, one of the best prospects who came to Chicago from San Francisco in Kris’ exchange. Bryant from last year. He made his MLB debut in a doubleheader on June 4 against St. Louis and conceded three runs in five innings but eliminated six. There’s a reason he’s a highly regarded prospect, but I don’t expect he’ll go deep today, and he’s backed up by a bullpen that allowed nine runs in four innings last night and has been asked to cover many lately. inning.

Key trend: The Cubs have lost eight in a row and have won just 19 of their last 65 home games.

🔒 SportsLine choice of the day: Golf stats expert Sal Johnson offers his best bets and top picks for the US Open at The Country Club in Brookline, Mass.


Top 10 of the US Open

Four of our five golfers finished in the top 10 last week. Four! After a slow start to the golf season with our top 10 props, we’ve made up a lot of ground over the past month. Let’s stay warm with these five golfers this weekend.

  • Xander’s Shovel (+225)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+250)
  • Keegan Bradley (+600)
  • Brian Harman (+1200)
  • Alex Noren (+1400)

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